The Caresaway Kindle Countdown

coverCaresaway is on a Kindle countdown for the next couple of days so grab it if you’d like to read a novelette about what happens when a psychopath reaches a position of great power. I promise you that it’s fiction – at least, as far as I know.

It’ll be a mere 99c for the next day, then $1.99 for a day after that, then it will return to its current price of $3.04.

Grab it here!

As the publisher, Annorlunda Books, is in California, the days are Californian and the prices are in US dollars or whatever Amazon decides is the equivalent in your own currency.

If you like it, or even if you don’t, I’ll always appreciate a review on its Amazon page, on Goodreads and / or anywhere else you’d like to post it.

Preview

Author notes

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Posted in Publishing news

Martha’s Beginnings

marthasbeginnings

(Elvin [CC / Flickr])

Martha’s fingers brushed Malcolm’s as he handed her the glass of wine. He dared to hope she’d done it deliberately.

“I love beginnings,” said Martha. “I love the feeling that I’m standing at a point in my life where anything can happen.”

Malcolm sat beside her, wondering what she meant. “Yes. I know exactly what you mean.”

“Did I mention that I went to university to study English literature?” asked Martha.

Malcolm edged closer to her, watching her lips as she spoke.

“No, you didn’t tell me that.” Malcolm thought about how it would feel to kiss those lips. “That sounds fascinating.”

“Oh, it was wonderful. I loved walking into a lecture theatre for the first time. Loved walking into the bookshop with a reading list and walking out with a stack of books I’d be learning all about. So exciting.”

“I can imagine. So when did you graduate?”

“Graduate?” Martha sounded startled at the idea. “Oh no, somehow that never happened. I got a few chapters into Wuthering Heights when I fell in love with it. I thought, I know what I want to do. I want to be a writer like Charlene Brontë. Or was it Emmy? Anyway, I realised I didn’t need to read all those books. I had my inspiration already. So I stopped going to lectures to write my own novel.”

Malcolm slipped an arm around her shoulders. “so you’ve written a novel? That’s exciting. That’s a real achievement.”

Martha didn’t pull away. This, Malcolm decided, was the girl for him.

“Yes it was exciting,” she said. “I suppose it would have been more of an achievement if I’d got past the first couple of chapters. But I met this man…well, I got distracted.”

Malcolm edged back to look at her, leaving his arm around her. “So you’re, uh, seeing someone?”

“No, no, it didn’t last long. It was exciting while it lasted. The sex was amazing.”

Malcolm wished she hadn’t mentioned that but decided that if she was single and enjoyed sex, the good news outweighed the bad.

“But, you know, excitement wears off and breaking up can be so hard,” said Martha. “It left me with writers’ block. I’ve never gone back to my novel. I feel I need some new beginning in my life.”

Martha laid her head on his shoulder.

“I see.”

Malcolm didn’t see at all, but the important thing was that she turned her face to his. It was no time to ask for clarification. Kissing her was as good as he had imagined it would be.

“Oh yes,” said Martha. “I do so love beginnings.”

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Posted in Saturday Hooptedoodle

Greater Minds: Richard Feynman on the value of doubt

  • Richard Feynman’s essay, The Value of Science, described a philosophy of ignorance.
  • The scientific mindset is excited by ignorance as an opportunity for discovery.
  • The opposing demagogic mindset denies the existence of ignorance and claims certainty.
  • We all use the scientific mindset in everyday life, and we can all use it to resist demagoguery.

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Richard Feynman while he was working on the Manhattan Project (Materialscientist [Wikimedia Commons])

Richard Feynman is among the greatest physicists of the 20th century, so it’s refreshing that he gave a public address that reads like an ode to ignorance. Then again, Feynman wouldn’t have been Feynman if he was predictable. When he was working on the Manhattan Project, he liked to prank his colleagues by cracking the combinations of the safes where they kept their top secret documents and leaving notes for them.

Feynman first gave the address to the National Academy of Sciences in 1955, when he worked at Caltech, and it was subsequently published as The Value of Science.

A satisfactory philosophy of ignorance

Feynman’s point is not that ignorance is in itself a virtue, but that acknowledging it is fundamental to the scientific process. Feynman was addressing other scientists on the nature of science, but we don’t have to be professional scientists to find ‘great value of a satisfactory philosophy of ignorance’.

Before embarking on the research needed to learn something new, a scientist must first acknowledge what she doesn’t know. When we investigate that subject and the evidence appears to point in a particular direction, we must understand exactly how far the evidence supports the theory and where its limits are:

When a scientist doesn’t know the answer to a problem, he is ignorant.  When he has a hunch as to what the result is, he is uncertain.  And when he is pretty darn sure of what the result is going to be, he is in some doubt.

To a scientist, certainty is boring. Scientific research is, by definition, carried out on the frontier between what is known and what is not. When evidence crystallises a hypothesis into a fact, it ceases to be a subject for research and becomes part of the framework by which new findings will be understood. The scientific mind is excited by ignorance in the

ICESCAPE Mission

The grand adventure of science (NASA HQ PHOTO [CC / Flickr])

same way that an explorer might be excited by a blank space on a map. The unknown offers the prospect of discovery:

The same thrill, the same awe and mystery, come again and again when we look at any problem deeply enough.  With more knowledge comes deeper, more wonderful mystery, luring one on to penetrate deeper still.  Never concerned that the answer may prove disappointing, but with pleasure and confidence we turn over each new stone to find unimagined strangeness leading to more wonderful questions and mysteries – certainly a grand adventure!

Feynman may have been thinking of scientific research when he wrote that but again, we don’t need to be professional scientists to have the adventure of learning something new.

Scientists and stools

To use an everyday analogy, suppose I want to see what is on a shelf that is too high for me to see from the floor. I have a stool, but I am ignorant as to whether it is stable enough to be safe to stand on. I can’t see anything obviously wrong with it or, to use Feynman’s terms, I have a hunch that the stool is safe but I’m not going to trust life and limb to it while I’m still uncertain. So I test the stool. It doesn’t collapse when I sit on it, which is a good start. I place it on the floor and rock it to see how stable it is. It remains steady. Now I am pretty darn sure the stool is safe to stand on, but I’m still in some doubt until I try it so

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The consequence of a satisfactory philosophy of ignorance (Bunches and Bits {Karina} [CC / Flickr])

I’m going to be very cautious the first time I do it. Only when I am actually standing on the stool am I confident that it’s not going to dump me on the floor.

Now I’ve established the safety of the stool as an established fact, I can finally use it to look at what is on the shelf. In fact, I can use that same stool to reach any shelf I’m too short to see because I have established that it is safe. I do, however, have to bear in mind the limits of what I have established. I won’t be trusting that stool on an uneven floor.

If I find that the stool has one leg longer than the others, I would have concluded that it is not safe and I would have to start again with another stool. In short, I have used the scientific process to see what is on a high shelf without breaking my leg.

As well as illustrating the process, my stool demonstrates that we don’t have to be professional scientists to embrace the scientific approach to ignorance. In fact, I have known a number of professional scientists to fall off stools and in one case, to test the stool carefully without considering the ceiling fan with consequences that were, in retrospect, entirely predictable.

The point is that the scientific approach is something we can all do, and indeed we often have to unless we wish to win a Darwin Award. It’s also worth stating that not every professional scientist successfully embraces the scientific mindset. As in any profession, there are those who resort to arguments from authority rather than evidence. Fortunately, the scientific process contains enough checks and balances to ensure that hypotheses

The Consequences

The consequence of an unsatisfactory philosophy of ignorance (Kathryn Denman [CC / Flickr])

unsupported by evidence very rarely become accepted as fact.

The scientist vs the demagogue

In a time when it’s impossible to turn on any news channel without hearing the term ‘post-truth’, Feynman’s philosophy of ignorance appears particularly relevant. Democracy is predicated on citizens voting on subjects that we possibly have a complete understanding of. We are frequently told what the likely outcomes of various issues will be by politicians who presume a certainty they cannot possibly hold, and who often confidently make assertions that fly in the face of all available evidence. In short, they are taking playing the demagogue which is diametrically opposite to the mindset of the scientist that Feynman described.

While the scientific mindset acknowledges ignorance, the demagogic mindset denies that any ignorance exists. To the demagogue, the scientist’s very acknowledgment that science falls short of omniscience is a weakness rather than a strength. I have pontificated in the past about my own arguments with people who insist that vaccines were either ineffective or dangerous; they did not appear to recognise that these are in fact two different claims. It is entirely possible for something to be effective and dangerous, or to be safe and ineffective, although neither is true of any licensed vaccine.

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The scientific and demagogic mindsets meet (Sindre Sorhus [CC / Flickr])

I came to realise that to the people who opposed me, science was not the adventure on the edge of ignorance that Feynman described, but a monolithic authority. By extension, any crack in that monolith threatened the integrity of the entire structure. Starting from that misconception, any acknowledgement of what is not known was not a strength but a weakness.

In fact, anyone with an internet connection can read and evaluate the source material that scientific conclusions are drawn from. Any and every scientific paper is summarised in an abstract that is freely available online, and most of the major journals have now published their entire abstract archive online. The whole paper is often available as well, although that is not always the case.

It took me some time to recognise that my antivaxer opponents were not being disingenuous. They genuinely believed that any small weakness in the case for vaccines invalidated any and every argument in the case, but at the same time they would make assertions of their own that were either irrelevant to the point at issue or unsupported. I came to see that they were not looking for answers to questions because they saw the very existence of questions as cracks in the monolith.

At the same time, they appeared unaware that by making unsupported assertions, they were claiming a much lower standard of evidence than I was. If I questioned their assertions, they moved on to another assertion rather than defending what they had already claimed. As the arguments progressed, I became increasingly aware that I was

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Sarah Palin in 2008: demagoguery in action (Gabe Taviano [CC / Flickr])

engaged in a clash of mindsets as much as of opinions. To the antivaxers, one individual who had received the measles vaccine but went on to develop measles proved beyond any doubt that the vaccine was ineffective. Coming from a scientific background myself, I was well aware of the limits of the vaccine: 5-10% of people who receive it are unprotected. That does not prove that the vaccine is ineffective because a 90-95% chance of being protected is considerably better than none at all.

The antivaxers were looking for absolute certainty, and had a tendency to mistake a lack of acknowledgement of limitations for certainty. Hence they would link to promotional materials for alternative medicine as irrefutable evidence while quoting the caveats in scientific papers as invalidating their findings entirely. In short, I was debating people who preferred the false certainty of the demagogue to the acknowledged ignorance of the scientist.

Germany and America

Amid all the recent talk of ‘post-truth politics’ and ‘social media echo chambers’, it’s worth bearing in mind that the unfounded confidence of the demagogue is far from a new phenomenon. Mathematician and philosopher Bertrand Russell wrote in his 1933 essay, The Triumph of Stupidity:

The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.

From today’s perspective, there is a certain irony that Russell’s essay opens by saying that ‘what has been happening in Germany is a matter of the gravest portent for the whole

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Bertrand Russell in 1954 (Materialscientist [Wikimedia Commons])

civilised world’ and concludes that ‘in America democracy still appears well established, and the men in power deal with what is amiss by constructive measures’. Sitting in the same country in which Russell wrote that essay, it now looks very much as if those countries have exchanged positions.

Russell’s famous quote begs the question of whether it is really fair to equate certainty with stupidity. The human mind is fundamentally a tool for making decisions, and a decision usually involves picking from a limited set of options. That is particularly true when we are presented with a ballot card. We do not set the terms of the debate and we cannot pick and choose from the positions of the different candidates or campaigns placed before us. Whether we embrace ignorance or reject it, we are still placed with the choice of which box to tick. Very few of us can accept the entirety of any one position, so we’re faced with the galling choice of casting the most bearable vote rather than voting for a position we actually support. Such is the nature of representative democracy.

Once we’ve cast our vote, however, it is worth bearing in mind that we are not committed to support every position a candidate voted for might take. In a democracy, there are mechanisms for challenging our representative. We can write to them, or we can join campaigns over specific issues. For example, I have pontificated in the past about UK Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt’s misrepresentation of epidemiological data to support reforms to the British National Health Service. Like a good demagogue, he stated the opposite of what the epidemiologists stated with absolute confidence. You don’t have to have voted against his party to recognise that he was – and still is – trying to pull a fast one and to challenge him on it.

It’s one example among many of how we can all understand the world better by embracing and understanding ignorance like scientists instead of dismissing ignorance like demagogues.

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Posted in Greater minds, Wednesday Pontification

Men of the Road

menoftheroad

(Mauro Eugenio Atzei [CC / Flickr])

One foot in front of the other. Then the other. And the other.

Ahead of the man, the road reached straight ahead to the horizon. Behind the man, a straight line of footprints in the dust bore testament to his passing.

The man became aware of an echo to his footfalls. A second foot was falling along with each of the man’s own. The man took some paces to think about it. Thinking too quickly might burn the energy needed to sustain such a metronomic gait.

There were definitely two feet falling for each of the man’s own. Therefore someone else was walking in step. The man turned his head from the point where the road touched the horizon. Another man walked beside him.

The other man looked back. His head was bare. He hadn’t shaved for a week. His hair and clothes were tinted red by the dust of the road.

The man might have been looking in a mirror.

The other man spoke, showing no regard for the morsels of endurance he was diverting from his feet.

“I hope it’s there.”

The tone demanded an answer. The man looked at the other man for half a dozen paces, loathe to waste effort on speech but loathe to snub a companion of the road.

“You hope what’s there?”

Had the man been more practised in conversation, the answer would not have taken the form of a question that invited further conversation but it was too late to take the words back now.

The other man must have had more regard for his endurance than he had so far shown, because he did not answer in words. He jerked his chin at the horizon.

The man turned his head back to where it had been before the other man fell in beside him. Grey clouds were massing over the road ahead. Before long, they would blot out the sun blazing down on his head. Rain would sluice the dust off him and turn it to mud beneath his feet. The man would be soaked to the skin until he emerged from under the clouds and the sun burned the water off him.

A hint of colour stained the grey sky. It reached out from itself, arching across the sky as it spread across the spectrum from red to violet.

“It’s beautiful.”

The man had not meant to speak, but the rainbow drew the words from him.

“It’s more than that,” said the other man. “So much more.”

This time, the man refrained from speaking. He kept his eyes on the arch hovering ahead of them. The other man would explain himself or he would not.

The other man chose to explain. “That’s refuge. That’s what that is.”

The man looked away from the rainbow and back to the other man, wishing to know what he meant. Before the man’s head finished turning, the man heard the absence of the second footfall.

The man walked alone.

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Posted in Saturday Hooptedoodle

Fiction Review: Get Shorty by Elmore Leonard

getshortycoverWhen Elmore Leonard wrote his ten rules of writing, he opened with:

  1. Never open a book with weather.

Yet eleven years earlier, he had opened one of his better-known novels with:

When Chili first came to Miami Beach twelve years ago they were having one of their off-and-on cold winters: thirty-four degrees the day he met Tommy Carlo for lunch at Vesuvio’s on South Collins and had his leather jacket ripped off.

There is no denying that the first thing mentioned in Get Shorty is the weather, even if there’s a stolen jacket by the end of the sentence. It’s the theft that sets the tone as it sets Chili the loan shark on a collision course with Ray Bones, that propels him out of Miami Beach and into the world of Hollywood film financing.

Leonard was already a veteran novelist and screenwriter when he wrote Get Shorty, best known for his tales of the Wild West and the even wilder cities of 20th century America in which hard men on either side of the law traded bullets, fists and the crackling dialogue that Leonard is famous for.

In Get Shorty, he brought the world he wrote about with the world he inhabited. There’s a strong element of satire in the portrayal of Hollywood, from the egotistical horror film director who desperately wants to be taken seriously to the self-important actor who never orders from the menu, never pays his own bill and, like many actors, constantly surprises people who meet him by being considerably smaller than they expected. Conspicuous by their absence are the screenwriters, who never progress beyond the occasional contemptuous mention by the bigshots. Several times, I found myself wondering who Leonard was taking revenge on.

When Leonard has Chili effortlessly establish himself as a player in the glittering world of Hollywood, he seems to be saying that what matters is not artistic ability so much as simply not being distracted by the glitter. Or perhaps that Hollywood isn’t so different to the amoral world of loan sharking that Chili has already mastered.

Whatever the hidden meaning, it’s a great story of the dark side of Tinseltown, and it does make me wonder what the story behind the film adaptation is.

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Posted in Book review: fiction, Wednesday Pontification

Walking Home

walkinghome

(Stacey Bramhall [CC / Flickr])

It’s good to be walking home. Good to feel the crush of snow beneath my feet and the muscular burn of movement beneath a jacket that, I must admit, is a little thin for February.

 

It feels almost as good as when I headed to work this morning in this same tailored suit, behind the wheel of my Merc. I strolled in with a nod for every ‘good morning, sir’ that followed me through to my office. Nodding to your staff is one of the many skills I’d had to master to get the suit and the Merc. The trick is to acknowledge everyone without giving the impression that they mean anything to you. It’s not good to let them get too comfortable.

I sent my secretary out for coffee as I started my first meeting of the day, with the representative from the Qatari construction firm. That man must like his coffee because he kept talking risks and regulations with me until he’d emptied his cup. He practically balanced it on his nose to make sure he hadn’t left any.

Then he pulled a card out of his pocket. The mind plays tricks on you at moments like that. I couldn’t see his name or the photo, but the words ‘Fraud’ and ‘Squad’ screamed out of that little card at me as if they were in flashing red letters a metre high.

The day took a turn for the worse after that.

So they’ve seized the Merc and frozen my accounts. ‘Proceeds of crime’ was the phrase he used. Cheeky of him when I haven’t been convicted of anything. At least he didn’t take my suit which was worth his whole wardrobe by the look of him, from his cheap shiny suit to his mismatched socks.

My lawyer got me bail, which spared me a night in the cell. That’s why it’s so good to be walking home.

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Posted in Saturday Hooptedoodle

Greater minds: John Joseph Adams on the art of short fiction titling

  • Prolific editor John Joseph Adams wrote his thoughts on what makes a good title.
  • Short stories need longer titles than novels, as they stand without cover art.
  • The best titles hook attention with tension.
  • Other approaches are to use slang or jargon, or to reference well-known quotes.

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John Joseph Adams in 2009 (Houari B. [CC / Flickr])

Confession time: I am a terrible titler. All of my stories go through title after title and when I finally settle on one and send it out for critique, the feedback is usually that it’s still awful. So when I saw John Joseph Adams had written about titling under the pity title of Zen in the Art of Short Fiction Titling, I sprinted over to his website to try to wring what guidance I could out of it.

Adams is the editor of Lightspeed and Nightmare magazines as well as a long list of anthologies, so he’s slushed his way through as many story titles as anyone. He’s also had the forgettable experience of rejecting my stories more than a few times, so I’m keen to learn anything I can from him to break the trend. The starting point might be to consider Adams’s question of whether, in the absence of any information other than the title:

Would you rather read “Dune” or “The Ones That Walk Away From Omelas”?

The draw of Omelas

The question is important because it draws attention to two points. First of all, it cuts to the point of a short story title: to make you want to read the story. Secondly, it illustrates the difference between a short story title and a novel title. Dune works perfectly on the cover of a novel. It’s so short that you’ve read it the moment you’ve set eyes on it. It combines with cover art depicting a desert landscape and a writhing sandworm, it combines into a powerful hook.

It wouldn’t work as well with a short story, where it would have to stand without the supporting artwork. We usually see them in a table of contents and while many publications do commission artwork for their stories, we don’t see it until we’ve at least

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1965 (left) and 1990 (right) editions of Frank Herbert’s Dune (Mike Liu [CC / Flickr])

turned to the story. A short story title must hook your attention on its own. So what does the title of Ursula Le Guin’s classic The Ones that Walk Away from Omelas, achieve that’s so much more effective than Omelas or Walking Away would have been.

The full title is a complete enough sentence to tell a small story in itself, but it’s a story that begs questions. What is Omelas? Why is it significant that someone is walking away from it? If the ones who walk away are the interesting ones, what differentiates them from the ones who are hanging around with, in or on Omelas?

To beg those questions, a title must be longer than Dune. In a list of examples of stories Adams accepted but retitled, his title is invariably longer than the one it replaced:

The Five Elements of the Heart Mind by Ken Liu, submitted as Visceral.

A Tank Only Fears Four Things by Seth Dickinson, submitted as Kontakt-5.

The Mad Butcher of Plainfield’s Chariot of Death by Adam Howe, submitted as The Ed Gein Ghoul Car.

The World is Cruel, My Daughter by Cory Skerry, submitted as Silk, Eyes, Bones, and Nothing More.

The Knight of Chains, the Deuce of Stars by Yoon Ha Lee, submitted as Knifebird’s Game.

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The story titles are behind the cover (Michelle Souliere [CC / Flickr])

For my money, Knifebird’s Game would pull me straight to that story, but Adams is the expert.

Short story, long title

Supporting the idea that short titles may not be the best is the list of the most common titles submitted to Clarkesworld, posted by editor Neil Clarke. The one thing they have in common is that they are short. They are also generic. It’s easy to see how a writer might see Rebirth, for example, as cutting to the heart of their story but if I saw that title in a table of contents, it would not intrigue me into turning to it.

So next time I’ve got a story ready to submit with a naff title, what do I do to give it something better? Adams makes a suggestion:

This might not be something you, as the author, can easily do yourself—you might be too close to the text—but if you have a trusted beta-reader or a significant other, you might try tasking them with finding and highlighting the phrases they find most evocative, and then review those to see if perhaps one of those phrases might make a better title than what you have already.

I’ve found that one of the many advantages of a critique group is that when people get to know someone else’s work, they can often come up with more succinct summaries than the writer himself, who is often so caught up with hunting the plotholes and the snippets

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Has the title been found (Andy Rennie [CC / Flickr])

of ugly prose around the forest of their creation that they can no longer see the wood for the trees. Adams suggests that finding the most evocative phrase may be a way forward, although he does add the qualification that it risks the reader giving too much weight to that phrase when they reach it in the text.

If you’re going to ask a critiquer to suggest a title, there’s no reason to confine them to phrases from the text. In future, I may well ask for a set of wild suggestions and see where that takes me.

Screwflied

The best short story title I’ve come across of is The Screwfly Solution by James Tiptree jr, which leads me to ask myself why those three words draw me. It’s not a full sentence like The Ones who Walk Away from Omelas but a much more traditional title structure of article, adjective and noun. I think it’s the tension between the words ‘screwfly’ and ‘solution’. ‘Screwfly’ conjures something inherently unpleasant. Flies aren’t the most charismatic beasts to take wing and while I don’t know where the screwfly fits into the dipteran tribe, it’s a name that sounds like it was conferred by someone who had seen them up to no good. Yet a solution implies that somehow these nasty critters might solve a problem. Solving problems is a good thing, isn’t it? But if someone sees screwflies as the solution to a problem, is it a problem that I’d really want solved?

What it doesn’t do is tell me anything at all about what’s in the story, unlike the titles

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Not an appealing solution (MEMANG RIZALIS ENT. [CC / Flickr])

suggested by Adams. It sets up such an evocative sense of tension that it makes me want to read the story to resolve it.

None of those thoughts and questions were my conscious reactions to that title. They were an involuntary reaction that I’ve been consciously examining in my hunt for a way of finding better titles for my own stories.

The titling jig

Adams suggests a couple of approaches. For stories aimed at a particular demographic, certain words might have a particular resonance. He mentions Respawn as an example for a story in an anthology about gaming, aimed at gamers. I’m not a gamer and the only reason the word means anything to me is from reading Christoper Brookmyre’s Bedlam, a novel that I expect a gamer would get more out of than I did.

I’ve tried a variation on that theme myself, by using slang or jargon phrases that simply sound evocative: Newgate Jig was from old London slang. Every Monday, a gallows was set up outside Newgate prison, the prisoners were marched out and as they hanged, their death throes looked like a macabre dance. Hence being hanged was to dance the Newgate jig. Only people like me, with an affinity for the darker sides of London’s history, are likely to recognise the term but there was something evocative enough about it that I decided to use it.

I duly plugged the title into Amazon, as I do with all my titles. I want to make sure there was nothing else under the title that was well-enough known that I’d look derivative. It was all mine, so off it went to look for a home. The week it was published, I walked into a bookshop and saw Newgate Jig by Ann Featherstone on the stand where they put the books

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A different kind of jig (DJ Cockburn [CC / Flickr])

they really want you to buy. It hadn’t appeared in my search because it had only just been published. I can’t imagine that I did Ms Featherstone’s reputation any harm; in fact I very much doubt she’s even heard of me, but here is as good a place as any for an explanation.

The title as homage

Another suggestion is to use or to repurpose a quote, such as Cory Doctorow’s Anda’s Game which pays homage to Orson Scott Card’s classic Ender’s Game. A pitfall of using quotes is that there are very few quotes that everyone will recognise, and they’ve all been homaged into cliché. Even if Anda’s Game was aimed at a dedicated science fiction readership, I must have been seen by people who either hadn’t heard of Ender’s Game or didn’t make the connection. It is, however, a title that stands reasonably well on its own, which is a necessary qualification for a title that uses a literary reference.

To use another one of my stories as an example, I can’t remember if I was trying to be clever when I picked Perchance to Dream or if I’d got so frustrated and went with the first title I’d thought of that didn’t make me cringe. I do remember that I’d called it What Dreams May Come for a while, which is lifted from Hamlet’s ‘to be or not to be’ soliloquy. The ‘dreams’ the dithering prince is referring to is the afterlife that awaits him after the

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A character that launched many titles (V [CC / Flickr])

sleep of death, which dissuade him from suicide. As the story took place in a labyrinthine bureaucracy that unwitting souls are condemned to – a theme many writers of the weird visit sooner or later – it seemed a particularly apposite quote and one that indulged my weakness for Shakespeare. As it was looking for a home, a Robin Williams film appeared under the same title (yes, this was some years ago now) so I moved down the soliloquy to Perchance to Dream.

Looking back, I ask myself if I made the right decision. It doesn’t mean much unless you recognise the quote, which you’ll only do if you’re familiar with Hamlet. On the other hand it does have a pleasing ring to it, and the story is now in press after the third time I’ve sold it under that title so it must have something going for it.

Advocacy in brief

We’re left with the question of how important a title really is. Adams’s examples of replaced titles do illustrate the fact that he’ll retitle a story rather than reject it, and Neil Clarke says:

Changing a title is easy, so if I don’t like it, I’ll discuss that with the author.

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Tor’s famous slushpile in 2009, when they were still accepting hardcopy submissions (Cory Doctorow [CC / Flickr])

No doubt Clarke is sincere when he says he doesn’t look at a title unless and until he’s decided to buy the story, but I also find it hard to believe that there aren’t editors and slush readers who do look at the title first. They may not make a decision on the basis of it but if they’ve never heard of the writer and they know they’re going to reject 95-99% of the enormous slushpile they’re working their way through, every little has to count.

Adams describes the title as ‘the only constant advocate it will ever have over the course of its lifespan’, which is worth taking it heart. Now I just need to do it better.

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Posted in Greater minds, Wednesday Pontification

Shutters

shutters

(Oscar F. Hevia [CC / Flickr])

I open the shutters and let the night in. Night knows me. Night is my friend. The night hides me and for the few hours we live in its hemisphere, the night allows me to be me.

I open the shutters to let in the day. I must conceal myself before you people of the day can see me. I use the day to check that my mask is in place. The mask allows me to look you in the eye and bid you good morning as you stroll past. You meet the gaze of my mask, and you think it’s me you see smiling back at you.

You don’t hear me laugh.

I open the shutters and let in the rain. The rain washes away my mask but, you are not there to see it. You hide in your hoods and your umbrellas, scowling at your feet even as you imagine my smiling mask is still in place.

Only in the rain dare I reveal myself in the day.

I open the shutters and let myself out. I am smiling, but it is not the smile of my mask. You might, if you are truly unfortunate, hear me laugh.

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Posted in Saturday Hooptedoodle

Inspirations: Apocalypse at the touch of a button

  • Shuntaro Hida has been an anti-nuclear advocate since seeing Hiroshima destroyed.
  • Modern nuclear weapons are orders of magnitude more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb.
  • Carl Sagan, Richard Turco and colleagues described nuclear winter in 1983.
  • A small percentage of the world’s nuclear warheads would cause a global catastrophe.

photo1

The nuclear blast that destroyed Hiroshima. Photograph by S/Sgt. George R. Caron, the tail gunner of ‘Enola Gay’, the aircraft that dropped the bomb ( National Archives and Records Administration [Wikimedia Commons])

Dr Shuntaro Hida is a very lucky man, though he probably didn’t appreciate it at the time:

I saw a very strong light that could make my eyes blind and the core of my head all blank and white, and at the same time I felt burning hot all over the place which was exposed, not covered by the shirt…wind came maybe three, four seconds after…I looked up and what I saw was this mushroom cloud being formed. It was a clear day so I saw it very clearly.

At one o’clock the morning of 6th August 1945, he’d been called out of a boozing session at the Hiroshima hospital to attend a sick child in a nearby village. He sobered up on the back of a bicycle and was attending the boy when the world changed. Hida had just witnessed the second nuclear explosion the world had ever seen. Had it not been for the sick boy, he would have been part of that cloud.

Hida hurried back toward the hospital where he usually worked, expecting he would be needed to treat casualties. He didn’t know the hospital had been within a few hundred metres of the inexplicably enormous explosion.

I thought this is a human

The most remarkable thing about Hida’s story, told in an interview for BBC radio 4 and repeated in a briefer televised version, was what he didn’t say: having just become one of the first people to witness a nuclear explosion at close quarters, his reaction was to run

photo2

Casualties of the Nagasaki bomb awaiting medical treatment, photographed by Yosuke Yamahata (Australian War Memorial)

into the looming mushroom cloud to try to help the casualties.

I saw something weird, something strange, something black approaching me and there was a head, shoulder and legs so I thought this a human but it was all black so she came in front of me and she fell down towards me and died.

It was the first time Hida set eyes on the Hibakusha, as people injured by the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and a week later, Nagasaki, would become known. That day, he would start the caring for the Hibakusha that would become his life’s work. Initially, he could do no more than try to make people as comfortable as possible as they died. He had no medications, surgical tools or even bandages. It took him months before he persuaded General Douglas MacArthur, then commanding the American occupation forces in Japan, to grant him a building to use as a clinic. By then, Hida knew as much as anyone in the world about treating acute radiation exposure. His patients were losing their hair, unable to keep food down, anaemic and in many cases simply dying. The American occupiers didn’t want to hear about it, and they certainly didn’t want anyone else to hear about it. Hida was arrested several times as part of the effort to cover it up.

photo3

Shuntaro Hida during World War Two and today (Publicity for the film, Als die Sonne vom Himmel fiel)

Hida is a very difficult man to shut up. Aged 99, he is still campaigning against nuclear weapons and nuclear energy.

The shadow of the bomb

That white light changed the way we all view the world. It wasn’t only the scale of the devastation that made such an impression; a few months earlier, the ‘Operation Meetinghouse’ air raid on Tokyo had killed more people in one night, and Tokyo was bombed regularly until the day Japan capitulated. It was that the devastation could be caused by a single aircraft carrying a single bomb.

As the Cold War gathered momentum and the USA and USSR ploughed resources into their ballistic missile programs, they didn’t even need aircraft. Nuclear warheads could be mounted on ballistic missiles and fired halfway round the world in under an hour. There is at least a chance of intercepting an aircraft carrying a bomb, but there is still no way of intercepting a ballistic missile.

photo4

Reconnaissance photographs of Nagasaki before and after the atomic bombing (U.S. National Archives [Wikimedia Commons])

What is often overlooked is that the nuclear bombs dropped on Japan look like party poppers compared to some of the weapons in today’s nuclear arsenals. The explosion Hida witnessed was around 15kt (kilotons), meaning equivalent to 15,000 tons of TNT. The bomb dropped on Nagasaki was 20kt. Compare that to the 340kt W78 warhead currently strapped to the top of American Minuteman-III missiles, or the warheads for the Russian SS-18, which can be as large as 20Mt (megatons): more than a thousand times more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb.

For decades, we lived ‘in the shadow of the bomb’, to use an oft-spoken phrase. We knew that the USA and USSR were engaged in a nuclear standoff, and that we would get next to no warning if the doctrine of mutually assured destruction, aptly abbreviated to MAD, failed. Missiles launched between the two principals would take around 30min to reach their targets. In Britain, we knew that we had just enough nuclear weapons of our own to make us a target and at most, seven minutes’ warning if the button was pressed. We didn’t bother with the ‘duck and cover’ exercises practised in the USA. We wouldn’t even have time for that.

Nuclear winter

One man who was scathing about the accumulation of nuclear weapons was astronomer, physicist and author Carl Sagan. In a 1991 interview with C-Span, he identified three looming global catastrophes: ozone depletion, the greenhouse effect (now better known as global warming) and nuclear winter:

https://www.c-span.org/video/?15619-1/path-man-thought

Looking back on it, the good news is that thanks to an unprecedented success of international co-operation, the ozone layer is slowly repairing itself. The bad news is that the greenhouse effect continues unabated and, more pertinently to the theme of nuclear weapons, the current presidents of Russia and the USA are both talking in terms of improving rather than depleting their nuclear arsenals.

Sagan, along with atmospheric scientist Richard Turco, had led much of the research leading to an understanding of nuclear winter. They came to it sideways from research on the way that dust in the atmosphere of Mars blocks sunlight from reaching the surface. At the time, Luis and Walter Alvarez had recently theorised that the dinosaurs were wiped out by a dust cloud thrown up by a meteor impact. Sagan, Turco and their colleagues reasoned that if a meteor could cause a global dust cloud, so could a nuclear explosion. They couldn’t stage a nuclear war to see what would happen, but they had plenty of information from nuclear tests to base a predictive model on.

Their findings, published in a 1983 paper in Science, make for chilling reading. The effects

photo5

300kt warheads of the LGM-118A Peacekeeper ballistic missile, retired from the US inventory in 2005 (Mark Mauno (CC / Flickr])

of nuclear bombs exploding over cities were bad enough:

A 100kt airburst can level and burn an area of ≃50 km2, and a 1-MT airburst, 5 times that area.

To put it another way, the 100kt bomb could blast Paris to dust with a few kilotons to spare and still look feeble compared to its 1Mt big brother, which was far from the largest weapon in service.

Dust and smoke

The paper focused less on the devastation from the explosions, which was already understood, than on what would happen to the dust forming the mushroom clouds so emblematic of the nuclear age. A 1Mt blast throws up between 10,000 and 60,000 tons of the stuff and they anticipated that a small nuclear exchange would amount to around 3,000 such blasts. Dust would be blasted as high as 30km, well into the stratosphere, where it would disperse through the jetstreams. Once up there, the dust cloud would absorb and reflect sunlight, preventing it from reaching the earth’s surface.

Added to the dust would be plumes of smoke from firestorms blazing in any part of a city where there was enough left to burn. Because many of the nuclear targets were military bases outside cities, a nuclear war would start massive fires in forests and grasslands, pumping yet more smoke into the atmosphere.

The average surface temperature would drop by some 20-25°C (35-80°F) in the weeks following the war. That’s an average drop, and living close to the sea would reduce the effect to some extent because of the very high thermal capacity of the oceans: it takes a

photo6

Hemispherically averaged earth surface temperatures after different levels of nuclear exchange (Turco et al [1983])

very long time for temperature changes in the sea to catch up with temperature changes in the atmosphere. The model assumes a nuclear war would be in the Northern hemisphere, so the effect on the Southern hemisphere would take longer to arrive and would be less serious, but would be substantial once it arrived.

As important as the temperature drop would be the loss of light reaching the surface. Without sunlight, plant growth would slow down and agriculture would collapse. For many of the survivors of the nuclear holocaust, the reprieve would be short lived. They would die of cold or starvation within a few months.

Global fallout

Most of the dust would fall to earth in a few months. The worst of the nuclear winter would be over, though it would take years for temperatures to return to the pre-war levels. The settling dust would bring another problem: much of it would be radioactive. Quite how radioactive is difficult to quantify. Modern nuclear weapons are much ‘cleaner’ than the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombs because much of the yield is derived from nuclear fusion rather than nuclear fission. On the other hand, they are much more powerful so a small percentage of fission-derived yield still adds up to a lot of radioactivity.

The dust would settle on the skin of anyone still alive. They would breathe it in the air and ingest it in their food. Sagan and his colleagues estimated that it wouldn’t be enough to cause the acute radiation sickness that Hida found himself dealing with, but it would be enough to make an early death from cancer very likely.

photo7

US nuclear weapon test at Bikini, 1946, colourised in post-production (International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons [CC / Flickr])

The nuclear winter ensures that a nuclear war will not only be devastating for the countries hit by nuclear weapons, but will cause a global apocalypse. ‘Mutually assured destruction’ should have the addendum, ‘and we’ll take everyone else with us’.

Overkill and megadeath

That a nuclear winter would devastate neutral countries does not seem to have featured in the considerations of the Cold War belligerents. Most of Africa and South America, and much of Asia, would not have been involved if the Cold War had turned into a nuclear war, but they would not have escaped the nuclear winter.

Perhaps what we now call ‘collateral damage’ simply didn’t feature in the minds of people used to formulating policy with terms like ‘overkill’ and ‘megadeath’. the former refers to the policy of firing more nuclear weapons than was thought to be necessary to make sure the target was wiped out and the latter means a million human deaths.

Or perhaps they regarded nuclear war as so catastrophic that they saw no point in

photo8

Poster originally designed as the back page of the Socialist Worker in 1985 by John Houston (Duncan Hull [CC / Flickr])

considering what the world might look like after it. In 1984, British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher said as much to the rising star of the Soviet Politburo, Mikhail Gorbachev:

I am not sure how relevant the concept of nuclear winter is when set against the destruction, incineration and death which would precede it.

The conversation took place at Chequers, the country retreat that goes with the post of prime minister, which says a lot about the impending thaw in the Cold War. The quote appears 28:30min into a podcast describing documents declassified in 2014.

MADness rejects disarmament

Reading the article, the sheer scale of devastation makes it difficult to remember that it isn’t drawn from science fiction. In Star Trek or Doctor Who, super-advanced aliens who think nothing of crossing light years of interstellar space often spend an entire episode working up such a comprehensive apocalypse, if only to be thwarted at the eleventh hour. Here is a document from the days of cassette tapes and the ZX81 describing something that our own species could have done to itself at the touch of a button. Although there are only around a third of the number of nuclear warheads now as there were in 1982, there are still more than enough for the worst-case scenario they calculated of a 10,000Mt exchange.

Sagan’s work on nuclear winter propelled him into the anti-nuclear campaigner. He was arrested twice for protesting nuclear tests in Nevada, though he reached more people with

his writing and broadcasting than his direct action. In the 1991 C-Span interview, he was scathing about American nuclear policy which, at the time, was to resist the Soviet initiative for a complete ban on testing nuclear weapons. Worse, in his opinion, was that the nuclear-armed states had all committed to nuclear disarmament under the 1968 Non-Proliferation Treaty but had made no move to meet their obligations.

The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty was signed five years later and the number of warheads has been reduced since then, but none of the nuclear-armed states suggested a move toward full disarmament. Consequently, they are all in breach of the Non-Proliferation Treaty.

photo10

HMS Victorious can launch up to 16 Trident missiles, each with 8 x 100kt warheads (Defence Images [CC / Flickr])

In 1991, the five openly nuclear-armed states were, not coincidentally, the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council: the USA, USSR, UK, China and France. South Africa was in the process of dismantling its warheads while Israel was thought to have a nuclear arsenal, which was confirmed when South Africa declassified the minutes of meetings in which Israeli ministers offered to sell nuclear bombs to the Apartheid government.

Today, Sagan’s concerns seem prophetic as India, Pakistan and North Korea have joined the nuclear club. The club’s old boys cannot claim any moral authority for persuading them to disarm while they themselves are in violation of the Non-Proliferation Treaty. While the new members’ arsenals are dwarfed by the old boys’, India and Pakistan could still cause a nuclear winter between them while North Korea looks as if the ability to do so is a national ambition.

The danger of complacency

Most people alive in the world today grew up with the unrealised threat of nuclear apocalypse, which makes it easy to get complacent. There is, however, no natural law that states that just because it hasn’t happened in the past, it can’t happen in the future. Worse, the brash statements coming from Washington and Moscow recently suggest that the complacency may have spread to the men whose fingers are on the trigger. So far, they are threatening no more than an expansion of their nuclear arsenals, which is an order of magnitude less serious than the Cold War when they threatened to actually use them. It is, however, a threat that implicitly includes discarding the agreement to desist from nuclear tests.

photo10

Russian SS-27 ‘Topol-M’ ballistic missile with 800kt warhead (Dmitry Terekhov [CC / Flickr])

When Sagan gave that interview in 1991, the Cold War had recently ended and the Soviet Union was in its final months before it fragmented into the Commonwealth of Independent States. Sagan sounds deeply frustrated at his own government’s failure to seize the opportunity to disarm while relations between the old foes were warming up:

If we were to be complacent about this issue, if we were to say…’the Cold War is over so what are we worrying about?’ Then in effect we are saying that we are confident in the sanity and sobriety of all leaders, military and civilian, of all nuclear armed nations from now to the end of time. And nobody can be sure of that…even the United States has had leaders in living memory who have shown serious instabilities.

His question remains: how confident are we of the ‘sanity and sobriety’ of the leaders of nuclear armed nations today?

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Posted in Inspirations, Wednesday Pontification

Nothing is Sacred

nothingissacred

(Alex Watson [CC / Flickr])

“Nothing is sacred,” said the vicar.

Carys squinted at him. “That’s not what I expected you to say. It’s not very helpful either. I came to you for some spiritual guidance or something.”

The vicar spread his hands. “It is not as I would have it. I wish I could point to one thing and say, ‘This is sacred. This is absolute’. But if I were to do that, I would be deceiving you.”

“Right,” said Carys. “So you don’t want to deceive me. You reckon the truth is sacred.”

“Not exactly, no. I cannot hold the truth to be sacred when I do not know what it is. I do, however, aspire to honesty at all times, however frequently I fall short of my aspirations though confusion or ignorance.”

“I’m beginning to think you need guidance from me more than I need it from you,” said Carys.

“That is indeed a possibility.”

“All right then.” Carys rolled her eyes. “Let’s try this. Are you saying you’re saying honesty’s sacred? At least trying to tell the truth even if you’re not sure you can manage it?”

“You are correct, I do,” said the vicar. “But my holding it to be sacred does not make it so in any objective sense. I may simply be showing my ignorance once again.”

Carys sighed. “I miss the old vicar. He might have been less honest but he was a sight more helpful.”

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